Tuesday, July 31, 2012

July 31, 2012


Counting Chickens in Texas
by Erick Erickson
July 31, 2012

Some friends in Texas are privately worried about Ted Cruz. The polls are very close. David Dewhurst has vastly outspent him. There is a huge turnout happening in random places in Texas — lots of people showing up in the runoff who do not normally vote in runoffs, let alone in Republican primaries.

That could be a sign that people are really fired up for Ted.

That could be a sign that Dewhurst is beating the bushes trying to get Democrats and typically disengaged voters to save him.

The only way to ensure a victory for Ted Cruz today is for you, if you live in Texas, to go vote. If you do not live in Texas, track down any friends you have in Texas and get them to go vote for Ted Cruz.

We need him. Today is election day.


TX CD-25 Republican Primary Runoff Preview: Roger Williams vs. Wes Riddle
by Katherine Haenschen
July 30, 2012

The race for the dismantled and now open CD-25 will likely be decided in the primary tomorrow, as former Secretary of State Roger Williams and Tea Party activist Wes Riddle square off in this sprawling Central Texas district. Redistricting warped CD-25 from an Austin-anchored district that ran east to Colorado county and south to Caldwell into a monster that takes a handful of precincts in Tarrant and Bell, wide swathes of the Hill Country, and punches across Travis just to draw in Lloyd Doggett's home.

Rogers is the odds-on favorite owing to his substantial fundraising advantage (he's raised $1.1M to date and had a cool half-million in the bank on his 12-day pre-primary report), and his name ID from his stint as SOS and his car dealerships. Rogers entered the race at the end of the second filing period after initially declaring for the Legislature's gerrymandered CD-33, which took the shape of a Republican district rather than the minority-opportunity district it is now. He had also floated a US Senate run, but got no traction. The highlight of his campaign has certainly been this juvenile and ridiculous video in which Williams talks to a field of actual donkeys and displays the level of maturity he will bring to Congress should he win. Williams is certainly an opportunist, spent a long time shopping around for a district, and settled on the 25th owing to lack of other options.

Conversely, Williams' opponent Wes Riddle, got in the race early when it wasn't even clear where CD-25 would be, what party it would be drawn to favor, or even whether Lloyd Doggett would still be running in it. (Doggett is now the Democratic nominee in CD-35.) Riddle sowed his 4x8 signs across the district and reaped pretty solid name ID, and touted his Tea Party credentials into a second-place finish in a crowded field of 12 Republicans in the primary. Many onlookers expected Michael Williams to finish second in the first round and head on to a Williams-on-Williams runoff; now the question is whether there's an upset brewing since Roger Williams only received 25% of the initial vote and is by far the more "Establishment" candidate.

Riddle has been endorsed by Ron Paul (perhaps owing to Riddle's support for Paul's bill to audit the Federal Reserve). Meanwhile Williams has been endorsed by Rick Perry, the US Chamber of Commerce, and a gaggle of Texas Congressmen. This will be an interesting race to watch if only to see if the Cruz and Dewhurst factions (and their respective endorsers, Paul and Perry) split in this race the same way they split in the Republican Senate primary.


Newt says Bill Clinton’s presence at Democratic convention will hurt Obama
by Alex Pappas
July 30, 2012

ARLINGTON, Va. — Having Bubba keynote the Democratic National Convention may not be such a good idea for Democrats, former Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich argued during a press conference Monday.

Gingrich said that former President Bill Clinton’s presence at the convention in September will just remind voters how liberal Obama’s presidency has been in comparison to the Clinton administration in the 1990s.

It was announced Monday that Clinton has been tapped by Obama to play a starring role at the convention, slated for September in Charlotte, N.C.

“There is a huge gap between Bill Clinton’s effort to take the Democratic Party to the center and Barack Obama’s effort to take it to the left,” Gingrich said at a northern Virginia television store. “So I think in a funny kind of way, having President Clinton at the Democratic convention may highlight the difference between the two choices.”

Gingrich said Clinton’s speech will “remind us that Obama really is a failed left-wing president with high unemployment, high deficits, huge regulatory policies and a very, very bad foreign policy.”

The Republican said voters will compare the current economic environment to the Clinton years of balanced budgets and welfare reform and all the “things that were done to make the economy better for the American people.”

“I think that will be a terrific opportunity for those of us who served with President Clinton to point out that Barack Obama is no Bill Clinton,” Gingrich said.


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